Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 15.312786 17.779208 20.457663 23.574987 27.095553 30.940365 35.448859
2025-08-31 10.533500 13.751997 17.601575 22.509500 28.560884 35.735985 44.841082
2025-09-07 8.379965 11.994625 16.652933 23.014272 31.380817 41.904985 56.023728
2025-09-14 6.932068 10.730724 15.943086 23.475894 33.914512 47.676966 66.961878
2025-09-21 5.628994 9.371035 14.810080 23.082839 35.091311 51.588417 75.592129
2025-09-28 4.578795 8.166216 13.669491 22.444089 35.729660 54.667534 83.158611
2025-10-05 4.248824 8.012788 14.042369 24.021951 39.638775 62.544714 97.899460
2025-10-12 3.905369 7.769661 14.219795 25.276382 43.117053 69.981936 112.428641
2025-10-19 3.446179 7.243717 13.853803 25.592244 45.121357 75.303597 124.099930
2025-10-26 3.033934 6.730356 13.431900 25.743877 46.831866 80.232790 135.407369
2025-11-02 2.615869 6.132146 12.776089 25.405516 47.671954 83.802809 144.757906
2025-11-09 2.237523 5.545482 12.059466 24.866367 48.094361 86.681643 153.118394
2025-11-16 1.869644 4.937664 11.267959 24.191345 48.376475 89.602739 162.173311
2025-11-23 1.513073 4.284859 10.301584 23.091286 47.835329 91.173348 169.246865
2025-11-30 1.353801 4.058688 10.175884 23.605516 50.279446 98.001055 185.534852
2025-12-07 1.212145 3.844473 10.041177 24.077064 52.667270 104.863862 202.255133
2025-12-14 1.030330 3.482438 9.519670 23.675246 53.317813 108.642172 213.795346
2025-12-21 0.861902 3.113347 8.919439 23.022289 53.392521 111.344027 223.542020
2025-12-28 0.838834 3.160806 9.326126 24.635127 58.179002 123.064517 250.115143
2026-01-04 0.798508 3.146965 9.577428 25.917144 62.370425 133.885287 275.558339
2026-01-11 0.717236 2.983997 9.423489 26.239923 64.562111 140.997033 294.491901
2026-01-18 0.638665 2.809161 9.210510 26.394872 66.397060 147.506988 312.602111
2026-01-25 0.551676 2.580148 8.812314 26.049108 67.099497 151.809609 326.721055